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Sylveon ex 153/128 price and pull rate

Buying Sylveon ex 153/128 costs $41.67 (TCGplayer market price, October 12, 2026). Opening Elite Trainer Box packs at MSRP until one shows up costs about $1,138 on average, 27 times as much.

TCGplayer market price
$41.67
October 12, 2026
packs per copy pulled, on average
205
1 / (4.88% ÷ 10)
in Elite Trainer Box packs at MSRP
$1,138
205 × $5.55

Source: TCGplayer market price; pull rate from TCGplayer Authentication Center; Elite Trainer Box MSRP per Bill's Archive, read October 12, 2026.

Sylveon ex 153/128 Special Illustration Rare by You Iribi: Sylveon floats among pink and red flowers, balloons and bunting, its ribbon feelers curling around it.
Card image: tcg.pokemon.com
Set
30th Celebration (English)
Number
153/128, EN
Rarity
Special Illustration Rare
Illustrator
You Iribi
Market price
$41.67, October 12, 2026 (TCGplayer, Near Mint)
Pull odds, this card
about 1 in 205 packs

How often it shows up in packs

TCGplayer Authentication Center opened 3,000+ packs of 30th Celebration and found a Special Illustration Rare in 4.88% of them, give or take 0.74% at 95% confidence (published September 24, 2026).

The English set has 10 Special Illustration Rares, so one named card is 4.88% ÷ 10 = 0.49% a pack, about 1 in 205 packs; across the interval, 1 in 178 to 1 in 242. That split treats every Special Illustration Rare as equally likely, which is an assumption, not a count. TCGplayer's own figure for one specific Special Illustration Rare is 1 in 205.

For an even chance of pulling this card you need 142 packs, and 471 for a 90% chance.

Line chart of the chance of pulling at least one Sylveon ex 153/128 by packs opened, at 0.49% a pack (0.41% to 0.56% across the interval, shaded): 4.3% after one Elite Trainer Box (9 packs), 50% after 142 packs, 90% after 471 packs.Line chart of the chance of pulling at least one Sylveon ex 153/128 by packs opened, at 0.49% a pack (0.41% to 0.56% across the interval, shaded): 4.3% after one Elite Trainer Box (9 packs), 50% after 142 packs, 90% after 471 packs.
Chart: SetPulls. Source: TCGplayer market price, October 12, 2026; pull rate from TCGplayer Authentication Center (3,000+ packs); Elite Trainer Box MSRP per Bill's Archive, read October 12, 2026, $49.99 for 9 packs.

Try other pack counts in the pull rate calculator with Sylveon ex 153/128 selected.

Price and how it has moved

TCGplayer market price for a Near Mint holofoil copy: $41.67 on October 12, 2026, read by hand from the TCGplayer Price Guide's Market Price column.

On release day, September 16, 2026, Bill's Archive's snapshot of the same TCGplayer market price had it at $123.12; our first reading, $41.67 on October 12, 2026, is down 66% on that. The release-day figure is theirs, so the chart draws it as an open dot and our own change figure leaves it out.

October 12, 2026 is our first reading for this card. Each Monday's price refresh adds a point, and the change since that first reading shows here from the second one.

$123.12 on September 16, 2026, Bill's Archive release-day snapshot$41.67 on October 12, 2026
TCGplayer market price of Sylveon ex 153/128: $123.12 on September 16, 2026 (Bill's Archive, release day); $41.67 on October 12, 2026. Filled dots are our readings; the open dot is Bill's Archive's release-day snapshot. Chart: SetPulls.

Single or packs?

At the Elite Trainer Box MSRP of $49.99 for 9 packs ($5.55 a pack; the US price reported by Bill's Archive, read October 12, 2026), the 205 packs you would expect to open before the first Sylveon ex 153/128 cost about $1,138: 27 times the single's $41.67 on October 12, 2026. Across the interval the bill runs from $988 to $1,342.

Luck runs both ways. One box's 9 packs give a 4.3% chance of at least one copy (3.7% to 4.9% across the interval), and half of all openers will have pulled it within 142 packs, about $789 at MSRP. The other half are still opening at that point.

Bar chart for Sylveon ex 153/128: buying the single costs $41.67 (TCGplayer market price, October 12, 2026); opening Elite Trainer Box packs at $5.55 a pack until the first copy costs about $1,138 on average ($988 to $1,342 across the pull-rate interval), 27 times the single; an even chance takes 142 packs, about $789.Bar chart for Sylveon ex 153/128: buying the single costs $41.67 (TCGplayer market price, October 12, 2026); opening Elite Trainer Box packs at $5.55 a pack until the first copy costs about $1,138 on average ($988 to $1,342 across the pull-rate interval), 27 times the single; an even chance takes 142 packs, about $789.
Chart: SetPulls. Source: TCGplayer market price, October 12, 2026; pull rate from TCGplayer Authentication Center (3,000+ packs); Elite Trainer Box MSRP per Bill's Archive, read October 12, 2026, $49.99 for 9 packs.

The other cards in those packs are worth something too; what a box returns on average is worked out on Is 30th Celebration worth opening?

Where it ranks in the set

Of the 188 30th Celebration cards with a market price on October 12, 2026, Sylveon ex 153/128 ranks twelfth and makes up 2.8% of the $1,473.67 it costs to buy one of every card.

Every card and its price is on the 30th Celebration checklist.

Same illustrator in this set

You Iribi drew no other card on 30th Celebration's English card list.

Our take

Sylveon ex is the cheapest of our eight 30th Celebration chase pages at $41.67 on October 12, 2026, twelfth by price in the set, and that makes the pack math the worst on the list: about $1,138 of Elite Trainer Box packs to expect one, 27 times the single. It has also fallen hard, from $123.12 in Bill's Archive's release-day snapshot to 66% lower at our first reading. You Iribi has no other card in the set. With the same odds as every Special Illustration Rare and a price this far below the pack bill, opening for Sylveon is the least efficient chase here. Buy the single.

Questions this page leaves open

Which other Sylveon ex cards are in 30th Celebration?

30th Celebration has one other Sylveon ex card besides this one: Sylveon ex 071/128 (Double Rare, $0.81), at TCGplayer market prices of October 12, 2026. The price and odds on this page are for 153/128 only.

Is $41.67 the price of a graded Sylveon ex?

No. It is TCGplayer's market price for a Near Mint copy, the condition of a raw card, not a PSA, CGC or Beckett grade. Whether grading pays at that price is what the grading calculator works out.

Where the numbers come from

Last reviewed . Card prices are refreshed every Monday.

Other 30th Celebration chase cards