Buying Mewtwo ex 151/128 costs $49.39 (TCGplayer market price, October 12, 2026). Opening Elite Trainer Box packs at MSRP until one shows up costs about $1,138 on average, 23 times as much.
Source: TCGplayer market price; pull rate from TCGplayer Authentication Center; Elite Trainer Box MSRP per Bill's Archive, read October 12, 2026.

TCGplayer Authentication Center opened 3,000+ packs of 30th Celebration and found a Special Illustration Rare in 4.88% of them, give or take 0.74% at 95% confidence (published September 24, 2026).
The English set has 10 Special Illustration Rares, so one named card is 4.88% ÷ 10 = 0.49% a pack, about 1 in 205 packs; across the interval, 1 in 178 to 1 in 242. That split treats every Special Illustration Rare as equally likely, which is an assumption, not a count. TCGplayer's own figure for one specific Special Illustration Rare is 1 in 205.
For an even chance of pulling this card you need 142 packs, and 471 for a 90% chance.


Try other pack counts in the pull rate calculator with Mewtwo ex 151/128 selected.
TCGplayer market price for a Near Mint holofoil copy: $49.39 on October 12, 2026, read by hand from the TCGplayer Price Guide's Market Price column.
On release day, September 16, 2026, Bill's Archive's snapshot of the same TCGplayer market price had it at $114.65; our first reading, $49.39 on October 12, 2026, is down 57% on that. The release-day figure is theirs, so the chart draws it as an open dot and our own change figure leaves it out.
October 12, 2026 is our first reading for this card. Each Monday's price refresh adds a point, and the change since that first reading shows here from the second one.
At the Elite Trainer Box MSRP of $49.99 for 9 packs ($5.55 a pack; the US price reported by Bill's Archive, read October 12, 2026), the 205 packs you would expect to open before the first Mewtwo ex 151/128 cost about $1,138: 23 times the single's $49.39 on October 12, 2026. Across the interval the bill runs from $988 to $1,342.
Luck runs both ways. One box's 9 packs give a 4.3% chance of at least one copy (3.7% to 4.9% across the interval), and half of all openers will have pulled it within 142 packs, about $789 at MSRP. The other half are still opening at that point.


The other cards in those packs are worth something too; what a box returns on average is worked out on Is 30th Celebration worth opening?
Of the 188 30th Celebration cards with a market price on October 12, 2026, Mewtwo ex 151/128 ranks ninth and makes up 3.4% of the $1,473.67 it costs to buy one of every card.
Every card and its price is on the 30th Celebration checklist.
Yano Keiji drew no other card on 30th Celebration's English card list.
Mewtwo ex ranks ninth by price in the whole set at $49.39 on October 12, 2026, down 57% from the $114.65 Bill's Archive recorded on release day. Its odds are the Special Illustration Rare standard, about 1 in 205 packs, which puts the pack route at about $1,138 at Elite Trainer Box MSRP, 23 times the single. The set's other Mewtwo ex, Futuristic Rare 157, costs $8.75 less at $40.64 and is the harder of the two to pull, about 1 in 241. So scarcity is not what you pay for here: choose between the two on art, and buy the single either way.
30th Celebration has 2 Mewtwo ex cards besides this one: Mewtwo ex 064/128 (Double Rare, $0.94) and Mewtwo ex 157/128 (Futuristic Rare, $40.64), at TCGplayer market prices of October 12, 2026. The price and odds on this page are for 151/128 only.
No. It is TCGplayer's market price for a Near Mint copy, the condition of a raw card, not a PSA, CGC or Beckett grade. Whether grading pays at that price is what the grading calculator works out.
Last reviewed . Card prices are refreshed every Monday.