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SetPulls

Mega Evolution pull rates, card list and products

Every number on this page links to where it came from: pull rates from TCGplayer's measured pack count, the card list from the official checklist and TCGdex, and pack counts from pokemon.com. Last checked .

Quick facts

English release
September 26, 2025
Set code
MEG
Era
Mega Evolution
Cards
188 numbered cards, printed out of 132
Pull rates
Measured on 5,000+ packs by TCGplayer
Top rarity on the checklist
Mega Hyper Rare: Mega Gardevoir ex 187, Mega Lucario ex 188

Pull rates by rarity

Chance of each rarity in one booster pack, with the 95% confidence interval TCGplayer reports. "Any specific card" is the chance of one named card of that rarity.

TCGplayer Authentication Center, 5,000+ packs, published September 30, 2025, checked October 12, 2026. Read TCGplayer's article.
RarityPer pack± (95% CI)About 1 inCards in rarityAny specific card
Double Rare20.91%± 1.12%5101 in 48
Ultra Rare8.23%± 0.76%12221 in 267
Illustration Rare10.89%± 0.86%9221 in 202
Special Illustration Rare0.99%± 0.27%101101 in 1008
Mega Hyper Rare0.08%± 0.08%126021 in 2520
Bar chart of Mega Evolution pull rates per pack with 95% confidence intervals: Double Rare 20.91%, Illustration Rare 10.89%, Ultra Rare 8.23%, Special Illustration Rare 0.99%, Mega Hyper Rare 0.08%
Chart: SetPulls. Source: TCGplayer Authentication Center, 5,000+ packs.

Packs for a 50% or 90% chance

Any card of each rarity, computed by us from the rates above with the method shown on the pull rate calculator. Each pack counts on its own; boxed packs are the same packs sold singly.

RarityPer packPacks for 50%Packs for 90%Packs to own every card (expected)
Double Rare20.91%310140 (10 cards)
Ultra Rare8.23%927987 (22 cards)
Illustration Rare10.89%720746 (22 cards)
Special Illustration Rare0.99%702322,959 (10 cards)
Mega Hyper Rare0.08%8672,8783,750 (2 cards)

Your odds

Chance of at least one Mega Hyper Rare in 9 packs

0.72%

0% to 1.4% across the 95% confidence interval of the measured sample (the source's interval on the rate, not one we computed for this result).

1 × Elite Trainer Box = $49.99 at MSRP, not market price.

GoalPacksIn boxes
50% chance867433 or more≈ 97 × Elite Trainer Box
90% chance2,8781,438 or more≈ 320 × Elite Trainer Box
Expected packs to the first one1,250≈ 139 × Elite Trainer Box
Open the full calculator

Card list

All 188 cards, with rarity and illustrator from TCGdex, fetched October 12, 2026. Tap a rarity to filter.

Showing 188 of 188 cards

  • 001BulbasaurCommon · HYOGONOSUKE
  • 002IvysaurCommon · Takumi Wada
  • 003Mega Venusaur exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 004ExeggcuteCommon · aspara
  • 005ExeggutorUncommon · Kazumasa Yasukuni
  • 006TangelaCommon · Yuriko Akase
  • 007TangrowthUncommon · REND
  • 008ChikoritaCommon · kamonabe
  • 009BayleefCommon · nisimono
  • 010MeganiumRare · Yoriyuki Ikegami
  • 011ShuckleUncommon · Shinya Komatsu
  • 012CelebiUncommon · Naoki Saito
  • 013SeedotCommon · Miki Tanaka
  • 014NuzleafCommon · takashi shiraishi
  • 015ShiftryUncommon · Uninori
  • 016NincadaCommon · Kuroimori
  • 017NinjaskUncommon · Apios
  • 018DhelmiseCommon · Haru Akasaka
  • 019VulpixCommon · Naoyo Kimura
  • 020NinetalesUncommon · satoma
  • 021NumelCommon · Wintr Wandr
  • 022Mega Camerupt exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 023LitleoCommon · Kurata So
  • 024PyroarUncommon · KEIICHIRO ITO
  • 025VolcanionUncommon · GIDORA
  • 026ScorbunnyCommon · svlt
  • 027RabootCommon · Narumi Sato
  • 028CinderaceRare · REND
  • 029SizzlipedeCommon · GIDORA
  • 030CentiskorchUncommon · Shiburingaru
  • 031Chi-YuUncommon · Gemi
  • 032MantineCommon · Shimaris Yukichi
  • 033CorphishCommon · Sanosuke Sakuma
  • 034KyogreRare · Nisota Niso
  • 035SnoverCommon · Pani Kobayashi
  • 036Mega Abomasnow exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 037ClauncherCommon · Tomokazu Komiya
  • 038ClawitzerRare · Anesaki Dynamic
  • 039SobbleCommon · Taira Akitsu
  • 040DrizzileCommon · Souichirou Gunjima
  • 041InteleonUncommon · akagi
  • 042SnomCommon · Kagemaru Himeno
  • 043FrosmothUncommon · miki kudo
  • 044EiscueCommon · Akira Komayama
  • 045MagnemiteCommon · Krgc
  • 046MagnetonCommon · Saboteri
  • 047MagnezoneUncommon · nagimiso
  • 048RaikouRare · Takumi Wada
  • 049ElectrikeCommon · Naoki Saito
  • 050Mega Manectric exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 051PachirisuCommon · tono
  • 052HelioptileCommon · Yuka Morii
  • 053HelioliskCommon · Nakamura Ippan
  • 054AbraCommon · Orca
  • 055KadabraUncommon · Saboteri
  • 056AlakazamRare · Bun Toujo
  • 057JynxCommon · Minahamu
  • 058RaltsCommon · Terada Tera
  • 059KirliaCommon · satoma
  • 060Mega Gardevoir exDouble Rare · takuyoa
  • 061ShedinjaUncommon · IKEDA Saki
  • 062SpoinkCommon · toi8
  • 063GrumpigUncommon · cochi8i
  • 064XerneasRare · Kazumasa Yasukuni
  • 065GreavardCommon · Narumi Sato
  • 066HoundstoneUncommon · matazo
  • 067GimmighoulCommon · Takeshi Nakamura
  • 068SandshrewCommon · Shinji Kanda
  • 069SandslashCommon · imoniii
  • 070OnixCommon · Uta
  • 071TyrogueCommon · OKUBO
  • 072MakuhitaCommon · Jerky
  • 073HariyamaRare · GOSSAN
  • 074LunatoneRare · Whisker
  • 075SolrockUncommon · Whisker
  • 076RioluCommon · hncl
  • 077Mega Lucario exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 078CroagunkCommon · matazo
  • 079ToxicroakCommon · Hasuno
  • 080MarshadowUncommon · Tomomi Ozaki
  • 081StonjournerUncommon · Hitoshi Ariga
  • 082NacliCommon · sowsow
  • 083NaclstackCommon · kodama
  • 084GarganaclUncommon · danciao
  • 085CrawdauntUncommon · kawayoo
  • 086Mega Absol exDouble Rare · aky CG Works
  • 087SpiritombUncommon · mingo
  • 088YveltalRare · akagi
  • 089NickitCommon · Souichirou Gunjima
  • 090ThievulCommon · ryoma uratsuka
  • 091ShroodleCommon · osare
  • 092GrafaiaiCommon · Dsuke
  • 093SteelixRare · Anesaki Dynamic
  • 094Mega Mawile exDouble Rare · aky CG Works
  • 095DialgaRare · Teeziro
  • 096TinkatinkCommon · You Iribi
  • 097TinkatuffCommon · KEIICHIRO ITO
  • 098TinkatonUncommon · toriyufu
  • 099GholdengoUncommon · Yukihiro Tada
  • 100Mega Latias exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 101LatiosUncommon · Uninori
  • 102SpearowCommon · Scav
  • 103FearowCommon · Saboteri
  • 104Mega Kangaskhan exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 105DelibirdCommon · Naoyo Kimura
  • 106MiltankCommon · Kouki Saitou
  • 107BunearyCommon · ryoma uratsuka
  • 108LopunnyCommon · Oswaldo KATO
  • 109YungoosCommon · Mékayu
  • 110GumshoosUncommon · Shigenori Negishi
  • 111StuffulCommon · Shibuzoh.
  • 112BewearCommon · HYOGONOSUKE
  • 113Acerola's MischiefUncommon · Yuu Nishida
  • 114Boss's OrdersUncommon · NC Empire
  • 115Energy SwitchCommon · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 116Fighting GongUncommon · Toyste Beach
  • 117Forest of VitalityUncommon · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 118Iron DefenderUncommon · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 119Lillie's DeterminationUncommon · Atsushi Furusawa
  • 120Lt. Surge's BargainUncommon · Hideki Ishikawa
  • 121Mega SignalUncommon · inose yukie
  • 122Mystery GardenUncommon · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 123Pokémon Center LadyCommon · Tomowaka
  • 124Premium Power ProUncommon · Toyste Beach
  • 125Rare CandyCommon · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 126RepelUncommon · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 127Risky RuinsUncommon · imoniii
  • 128Strange TimepieceUncommon · Toyste Beach
  • 129Surfing BeachUncommon · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 130SwitchCommon · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 131Ultra BallCommon · Ayaka Yoshida
  • 132Wally's CompassionUncommon · Iori Suzuki
  • 133BulbasaurIllustration Rare · mashu
  • 134IvysaurIllustration Rare · mashu
  • 135ExeggutorIllustration Rare · Yukihiro Tada
  • 136ShuckleIllustration Rare · OKUBO
  • 137NinjaskIllustration Rare · Tetsu Kayama
  • 138VulpixIllustration Rare · saino misaki
  • 139LitleoIllustration Rare · Teeziro
  • 140SnoverIllustration Rare · Nurikabe
  • 141ClawitzerIllustration Rare · Mori Yuu
  • 142InteleonIllustration Rare · Ligton
  • 143HelioptileIllustration Rare · Akira Komayama
  • 144ShedinjaIllustration Rare · Tetsu Kayama
  • 145HoundstoneIllustration Rare · Arai Kiriko
  • 146MarshadowIllustration Rare · 0313
  • 147GarganaclIllustration Rare · Yano Keiji
  • 148SpiritombIllustration Rare · IKEDA Saki
  • 149ShroodleIllustration Rare · Shimaris Yukichi
  • 150SteelixIllustration Rare · Tonji Matsuno
  • 151SpearowIllustration Rare · MINAMINAMI Take
  • 152DelibirdIllustration Rare · Takeshi Nakamura
  • 153GumshoosIllustration Rare · Mina Nakai
  • 154StuffulIllustration Rare · OKACHEKE
  • 155Mega Venusaur exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 156Mega Camerupt exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 157Mega Abomasnow exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 158Mega Manectric exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 159Mega Gardevoir exUltra Rare · takuyoa
  • 160Mega Lucario exUltra Rare · takuyoa
  • 161Mega Absol exUltra Rare · aky CG Works
  • 162Mega Mawile exUltra Rare · aky CG Works
  • 163Mega Latias exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 164Mega Kangaskhan exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 165Acerola's MischiefUltra Rare · Yuu Nishida
  • 166Air BalloonUltra Rare · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 167Buddy-Buddy PoffinUltra Rare · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 168Fighting GongUltra Rare · Toyste Beach
  • 169Lillie's DeterminationUltra Rare · Atsushi Furusawa
  • 170Lt. Surge's BargainUltra Rare · Hideki Ishikawa
  • 171Mega SignalUltra Rare · inose yukie
  • 172Mystery GardenUltra Rare · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 173Night StretcherUltra Rare · Toyste Beach
  • 174Premium Power ProUltra Rare · Toyste Beach
  • 175Rare CandyUltra Rare · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 176Wally's CompassionUltra Rare · Iori Suzuki
  • 177Mega Venusaur exSpecial Illustration Rare · mashu
  • 178Mega Gardevoir exSpecial Illustration Rare · Raita Kazama
  • 179Mega Lucario exSpecial Illustration Rare · Atsushi Furusawa
  • 180Mega Absol exSpecial Illustration Rare · Mitsuhiro Arita
  • 181Mega Latias exSpecial Illustration Rare · AKIRA EGAWA
  • 182Mega Kangaskhan exSpecial Illustration Rare · GOTO minori
  • 183Acerola's MischiefSpecial Illustration Rare · sui
  • 184Lillie's DeterminationSpecial Illustration Rare · satoma
  • 185Lt. Surge's BargainSpecial Illustration Rare · osare
  • 186Wally's CompassionSpecial Illustration Rare · Jiro Sasumo
  • 187Mega Gardevoir exMega Hyper Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 188Mega Lucario exMega Hyper Rare · 5ban Graphics
Bar chart of the 188 cards in Mega Evolution by rarity: 67 Common, 43 Uncommon, 12 Rare, 10 Double Rare, 22 Illustration Rare, 22 Ultra Rare, 10 Special Illustration Rare, 2 Mega Hyper Rare
Chart: SetPulls. Source: the official Mega Evolution checklist and TCGdex card data.

Highest-rarity cards

No.CardRarityIllustrator
187Mega Gardevoir exMega Hyper Rare5ban Graphics
188Mega Lucario exMega Hyper Rare5ban Graphics
177Mega Venusaur exSpecial Illustration Raremashu
178Mega Gardevoir exSpecial Illustration RareRaita Kazama
179Mega Lucario exSpecial Illustration RareAtsushi Furusawa
180Mega Absol exSpecial Illustration RareMitsuhiro Arita
181Mega Latias exSpecial Illustration RareAKIRA EGAWA
182Mega Kangaskhan exSpecial Illustration RareGOTO minori
183Acerola's MischiefSpecial Illustration Raresui
184Lillie's DeterminationSpecial Illustration Raresatoma
185Lt. Surge's BargainSpecial Illustration Rareosare
186Wally's CompassionSpecial Illustration RareJiro Sasumo
Chart comparing packs per pull for any card of a rarity and for one specific card in Mega Evolution, from 1 in 5 to 1 in 2520
Chart: SetPulls. Source: TCGplayer Authentication Center, 5,000+ packs.

Products and MSRP

Pack counts come from pokemon.com. US MSRPs are linked to the page that states them; where no source gives a price we say so instead of guessing.

ProductPacksUS MSRPSource
Booster Display Box36No sourced MSRPWe found no source that states a US price for this box.n/a
Elite Trainer Box9$49.99celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box11$59.99Sold only by Pokémon Center.celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Booster Bundle6$26.94celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Build & Battle Box4No sourced MSRPWe found no source that states a US price for this box.n/a

How we got these numbers

  • Release date: September 26, 2025 in English, from The Pokémon Company's press schedule.
  • Card count: official checklist (PDF); pokemon.com. The card list is imported from the TCGdex API with our own script, matched to the official checklist's numbering, and each rarity's count is checked against a second source (the checklist or the pull-rate article).
  • Pull rates: TCGplayer Authentication Center opened 5,000+ packs and reports each rate with a 95% confidence interval. The ± is that interval: with a bigger sample it gets narrower. We copy the rates as published and do not adjust them.
  • Products: pack counts from pokemon.com product pages; MSRPs from the sources named in the table, each marked official, retail listing or secondary source.

Our take

From TCGplayer's 5,000+ packs, Mega Evolution gives a Double Rare about 1 in 5, an Illustration Rare about 1 in 9 and an Ultra Rare about 1 in 12. Special Illustration Rares are 0.99% per pack, about 1 in 101, and with 10 of them a named one is about 1 in 1008. Two Mega Hyper Rares, Mega Lucario ex and Mega Gardevoir ex, share 0.08% per pack, so one named Mega Hyper Rare is about 1 in 2520. With odds that thin per card, the singles market is the realistic route to a specific chase.

What collectors say

1/101 for an SIR is diabolical.

FAQ

What are the Mega Evolution pull rates?

TCGplayer's Authentication Center opened more than 5,000 packs and measured, per pack: Double Rare 20.91%, Illustration Rare 10.89%, Ultra Rare 8.23%, Special Illustration Rare 0.99% and Mega Hyper Rare 0.08%. Each rate carries a 95% confidence interval, shown in the table above.

How many cards are in Mega Evolution?

188 cards, printed out of 132, so 56 are secret rares: 22 Illustration Rares, 22 Ultra Rares, 10 Special Illustration Rares and 2 Mega Hyper Rares.

What are the odds of pulling Mega Lucario ex or Mega Gardevoir ex Mega Hyper Rare?

TCGplayer measured 0.08% per pack for either one, about 1 in 1260 packs, and about 1 in 2520 for one named card. The 95% interval is ± 0.08%, so the true rate is very uncertain.

How many packs are in a Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box?

Nine booster packs; the Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box has 11. Celadon Info, a secondary source, lists US MSRPs of $49.99 and $59.99.

How many packs are in a Mega Evolution booster box?

36 booster packs, each with 10 cards and one Basic Energy. We found no source that states a US price for the box.