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SetPulls

Chaos Rising pull rates, card list and products

Every number on this page links to where it came from: pull rates from TCGplayer's measured pack count, the card list from the official checklist and TCGdex, and pack counts from pokemon.com. Last checked .

Quick facts

English release
May 22, 2026
Set code
CRI
Era
Mega Evolution
Cards
122 numbered cards, printed out of 86
Pull rates
Measured on 8,500+ packs by TCGplayer
Top rarity on the checklist
Mega Hyper Rare: Mega Greninja ex 122

Pull rates by rarity

Chance of each rarity in one booster pack, with the 95% confidence interval TCGplayer reports. "Any specific card" is the chance of one named card of that rarity.

TCGplayer Authentication Center, 8,500+ packs, published June 4, 2026, checked October 12, 2026. Read TCGplayer's article.
RarityPer pack± (95% CI)About 1 inCards in rarityAny specific card
Double Rare20.30%± 0.85%5101 in 49
Ultra Rare8.29%± 0.58%12181 in 217
Illustration Rare10.66%± 0.65%9111 in 103
Special Illustration Rare1.21%± 0.23%8361 in 496
Mega Hyper Rare0.10%± 0.07%95611 in 956
Bar chart of Chaos Rising pull rates per pack with 95% confidence intervals: Double Rare 20.30%, Illustration Rare 10.66%, Ultra Rare 8.29%, Special Illustration Rare 1.21%, Mega Hyper Rare 0.10%
Chart: SetPulls. Source: TCGplayer Authentication Center, 8,500+ packs.

Packs for a 50% or 90% chance

Any card of each rarity, computed by us from the rates above with the method shown on the pull rate calculator. Each pack counts on its own; boxed packs are the same packs sold singly.

RarityPer packPacks for 50%Packs for 90%Packs to own every card (expected)
Double Rare20.30%411144 (10 cards)
Ultra Rare8.29%927759 (18 cards)
Illustration Rare10.66%721312 (11 cards)
Special Illustration Rare1.21%571901,215 (6 cards)
Mega Hyper Rare0.10%6932,3021,000 (1 card)

Your odds

Chance of at least one Mega Hyper Rare in 9 packs

0.90%

0.27% to 1.5% across the 95% confidence interval of the measured sample (the source's interval on the rate, not one we computed for this result).

1 × Elite Trainer Box = $49.99 at MSRP, not market price.

GoalPacksIn boxes
50% chance693408 to 2,311≈ 77 × Elite Trainer Box
90% chance2,3021,354 to 7,675≈ 256 × Elite Trainer Box
Expected packs to the first one1,000≈ 112 × Elite Trainer Box
Open the full calculator

Card list

All 122 cards, with rarity and illustrator from TCGdex, fetched October 12, 2026. Tap a rarity to filter.

Showing 122 of 122 cards

  • 001WeedleCommon · sowsow
  • 002KakunaCommon · Mugi Hamada
  • 003Beedrill exDouble Rare · toriyufu
  • 004CarnivineCommon · Heisuke Kitazawa
  • 005ChespinCommon · HACCAN
  • 006QuilladinCommon · Hideki Ishikawa
  • 007ChesnaughtRare · Uta
  • 008VulpixCommon · Yoshimoto Yoshimon
  • 009NinetalesUncommon · Ryuta Fuse
  • 010Ho-OhRare · Takumi Wada
  • 011FennekinCommon · saino misaki
  • 012BraixenCommon · Taiga Kasai
  • 013DelphoxRare · Gemi
  • 014LitleoCommon · Mina Nakai
  • 015Mega Pyroar exDouble Rare · Keisuke Azuma
  • 016RemoraidCommon · Mori Yuu
  • 017OctilleryCommon · matazo
  • 018DelibirdUncommon · Saboteri
  • 019KeldeoRare · Mitsuhiro Arita
  • 020FroakieCommon · Kariya
  • 021FrogadierCommon · Nelnal
  • 022Mega Greninja exDouble Rare · takuyoa
  • 023BergmiteCommon · Anesaki Dynamic
  • 024AvaluggUncommon · Tomomi Kaneko
  • 025WimpodCommon · 0313
  • 026GolisopodUncommon · Takeshi Nakamura
  • 027MareepCommon · UKUMO uiti
  • 028FlaaffyCommon · miki kudo
  • 029AmpharosRare · CHORISO
  • 030EmolgaCommon · Kazumasa Yasukuni
  • 031DeoxysUncommon · Shiburingaru
  • 032DeoxysUncommon · nagimiso
  • 033DeoxysUncommon · GOSSAN
  • 034DeoxysUncommon · hncl
  • 035Mega Floette exDouble Rare · aky CG Works
  • 036EspurrCommon · sowsow
  • 037MeowsticUncommon · mingo
  • 038PhantumpCommon · Taiga Kasai
  • 039TrevenantRare · Uninori
  • 040PumpkabooCommon · Jerky
  • 041Gourgeist exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 042XerneasRare · KEIICHIRO ITO
  • 043SudowoodoUncommon · GOTO minori
  • 044PhanpyCommon · Akino Fukuji
  • 045DonphanCommon · Julie Hang
  • 046BaltoyCommon · Tomomi Ozaki
  • 047ClaydolUncommon · Oswaldo KATO
  • 048Mega Gallade exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 049ZubatCommon · Mékayu
  • 050GolbatCommon · Mousho
  • 051CrobatRare · IKEDA Saki
  • 052QwilfishCommon · nisimono
  • 053StunkyCommon · Nobuhiro Imagawa
  • 054SkuntankUncommon · Yuriko Akase
  • 055Krookodile exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 056TrubbishCommon · Souichirou Gunjima
  • 057GarbodorUncommon · HYOGONOSUKE
  • 058SkrelpCommon · Shimaris Yukichi
  • 059BeldumCommon · toi8
  • 060MetangCommon · Kazumasa Yasukuni
  • 061MetagrossUncommon · Bun Toujo
  • 062FerroseedCommon · OKUBO
  • 063FerrothornUncommon · Haru Akasaka
  • 064Cobalion exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 065Mega Dragalge exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 066GoomyCommon · Anesaki Dynamic
  • 067SliggooCommon · Yoriyuki Ikegami
  • 068GoodraRare · Tonji Matsuno
  • 069TaurosUncommon · Satoshi Ohta
  • 070PatratCommon · Souichirou Gunjima
  • 071WatchogCommon · Kouki Saitou
  • 072MinccinoCommon · ryoma uratsuka
  • 073Cinccino exDouble Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 074Adversity PolicyUncommon · Ayaka Yoshida
  • 075Ange FloetteUncommon · MARINA Chikazawa
  • 076AZ's TranquilityUncommon · GIDORA
  • 077EmmaUncommon · Akira Komayama
  • 078Great Haul NetUncommon · Toyste Beach
  • 079PhilippeUncommon · Souichirou Gunjima
  • 080Prism TowerUncommon · MARINA Chikazawa
  • 081Roxie's PerformanceUncommon · Nobusawa/Mochipuyo
  • 082Special Red CardUncommon · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 083Transformation TomeUncommon · Toyste Beach
  • 084Bubbly Water EnergyRare
  • 085Magnetic Metal EnergyRare
  • 086Nitro Fire EnergyRare
  • 087ChespinIllustration Rare · Atsushi Furusawa
  • 088FroakieIllustration Rare · Susumu Maeya
  • 089FrogadierIllustration Rare · Susumu Maeya
  • 090AmpharosIllustration Rare · saino misaki
  • 091XerneasIllustration Rare · YASHIRO Nanaco
  • 092ClaydolIllustration Rare · matazo
  • 093CrobatIllustration Rare · Kazuhisa Uragami
  • 094MetangIllustration Rare · Kurata So
  • 095SliggooIllustration Rare · aspara
  • 096TaurosIllustration Rare · Tsuyoshi Nagano
  • 097WatchogIllustration Rare · MARINA Chikazawa
  • 098Beedrill exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 099Mega Pyroar exUltra Rare · Keisuke Azuma
  • 100Mega Greninja exUltra Rare · takuyoa
  • 101Mega Floette exUltra Rare · aky CG Works
  • 102Gourgeist exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 103Cobalion exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 104Mega Dragalge exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 105Cinccino exUltra Rare · 5ban Graphics
  • 106AZ's TranquilityUltra Rare · GIDORA
  • 107EmmaUltra Rare · Akira Komayama
  • 108Energy RetrievalUltra Rare · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 109Jumbo Ice CreamUltra Rare · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 110PhilippeUltra Rare · Souichirou Gunjima
  • 111Prism TowerUltra Rare · MARINA Chikazawa
  • 112Roxie's PerformanceUltra Rare · Nobusawa/Mochipuyo
  • 113Special Red CardUltra Rare · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 114Surfing BeachUltra Rare · AYUMI ODASHIMA
  • 115Tool ScrapperUltra Rare · Studio Bora Inc.
  • 116Mega Greninja exSpecial Illustration Rare · Susumu Maeya
  • 117Mega Floette exSpecial Illustration Rare · Teeziro
  • 118Mega Dragalge exSpecial Illustration Rare · Kazumasa Yasukuni
  • 119Cinccino exSpecial Illustration Rare · Keisin
  • 120AZ's TranquilitySpecial Illustration Rare · OKACHEKE
  • 121Roxie's PerformanceSpecial Illustration Rare · Tomowaka
  • 122Mega Greninja exMega Hyper Rare · takuyoa
Bar chart of the 122 cards in Chaos Rising by rarity: 38 Common, 26 Uncommon, 12 Rare, 10 Double Rare, 11 Illustration Rare, 18 Ultra Rare, 6 Special Illustration Rare, 1 Mega Hyper Rare
Chart: SetPulls. Source: the official Chaos Rising checklist and TCGdex card data.

Highest-rarity cards

No.CardRarityIllustrator
122Mega Greninja exMega Hyper Raretakuyoa
116Mega Greninja exSpecial Illustration RareSusumu Maeya
117Mega Floette exSpecial Illustration RareTeeziro
118Mega Dragalge exSpecial Illustration RareKazumasa Yasukuni
119Cinccino exSpecial Illustration RareKeisin
120AZ's TranquilitySpecial Illustration RareOKACHEKE
121Roxie's PerformanceSpecial Illustration RareTomowaka
Chart comparing packs per pull for any card of a rarity and for one specific card in Chaos Rising, from 1 in 5 to 1 in 956
Chart: SetPulls. Source: TCGplayer Authentication Center, 8,500+ packs.

Products and MSRP

Pack counts come from pokemon.com. US MSRPs are linked to the page that states them; where no source gives a price we say so instead of guessing.

ProductPacksUS MSRPSource
Booster Display Box36$161.64celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Elite Trainer Box9$49.99celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box11$59.99Sold only by Pokémon Center.celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Booster Bundle6$26.94celadoninfo.comsecondary source
Build & Battle Box4No sourced MSRPWe found no source that states a US price for this box.n/a

How we got these numbers

  • Release date: May 22, 2026 in English, from The Pokémon Company's press schedule.
  • Card count: official checklist (PDF); api.tcgdex.net. The card list is imported from the TCGdex API with our own script, matched to the official checklist's numbering, and each rarity's count is checked against a second source (the checklist or the pull-rate article).
  • Pull rates: TCGplayer Authentication Center opened 8,500+ packs and reports each rate with a 95% confidence interval. The ± is that interval: with a bigger sample it gets narrower. We copy the rates as published and do not adjust them.
  • Products: pack counts from pokemon.com product pages; MSRPs from the sources named in the table, each marked official, retail listing or secondary source.

Our take

Chaos Rising pull rates are on par with Phantasmal Flames and Perfect Order, per TCGplayer: a Double Rare about 1 in 5 packs, an Illustration Rare about 1 in 9 and a Special Illustration Rare about 1 in 83. TCGplayer opened more than 8,500 packs, so the intervals are narrow, ± 0.23% on the 1.21% Special Illustration Rare rate. The Mega Greninja ex Mega Hyper Rare came in at 0.10%, about 1 in 956; TCGplayer says it looking easier than in those two sets is not statistically significant. One named Special Illustration Rare is about 1 in 496 packs, so for a single chase card the price of the single is the number to beat.

What collectors say

This is the same as every other Mega Evolution set

FAQ

What are the Chaos Rising pull rates?

TCGplayer's Authentication Center opened more than 8,500 packs and measured, per pack: Double Rare 20.30%, Illustration Rare 10.66%, Ultra Rare 8.29%, Special Illustration Rare 1.21% and Mega Hyper Rare 0.10%. Each rate carries a 95% confidence interval, shown in the table above.

How many cards are in Chaos Rising?

122 cards, printed out of 86, so 36 are secret rares: 11 Illustration Rares, 18 Ultra Rares, 6 Special Illustration Rares and 1 Mega Hyper Rare.

What are the odds of pulling the Mega Greninja ex Mega Hyper Rare?

TCGplayer measured 0.10% per pack, about 1 in 956 packs, with a 95% interval of ± 0.07%. Mega Greninja ex is the one Mega Hyper Rare in the set.

How many packs are in a Chaos Rising Elite Trainer Box?

Nine booster packs; the Pokémon Center Elite Trainer Box has 11. Celadon Info, a secondary source, lists US MSRPs of $49.99 and $59.99.

Is the Mega Hyper Rare easier to pull in Chaos Rising?

It came in at 0.10% per pack, a little higher than in Perfect Order and Phantasmal Flames, but TCGplayer says the difference is not statistically significant, so treat the odds as the same.